Post-socialist Transition and Empirical Evaluation of the Future Spatial Development of Serbia more

Due to different political and economic factors during its post-socialist transition Serbia has been isolated
from the mainstream trends of European integration and convergence. The country’s comparative advantages and
competitiveness have worsened in two key aspects - in its structural qualities and in its territorial capital. The
economic recovery after the changes in 2000 onwards has the form of “growth without development”, while the
spatial development patterns have appeared to be rather unsustainable. Today, Serbia has found itself in the
position of an economic, ecological and financial semi-colony of few powerful international political, economic
and financial actors. In the last part, we will present results of an empiric evaluation of the three scenarios for
spatial development of Serbia until 2020 based on comparative analysis of 29 indicators by applying the Spider
method.